Peter Adamis 25 August 2014. As promised we are about to observe some interesting events unravel over the next few weeks and then be startled with additional revelations that will open up a Pandora’s box. As a dear friend once commented to me: “WATCH THIS SPACE”. A copy of the complete article may be downloaded by clicking on: THE FILE – 4
Ted Baillieu’s decision to step down at this crucial juncture is being seen by some Liberals as somewhat akin to ‘treachery’ and it’s his way of getting back at his detractors. Whatever the case may be and for all his faults, his decision could not have come a bad time for the Denis Napthine government.
There is a renewed push within Liberal party senior Liberals pursuing Mary Woolridge to contest the seat of Hawthorn recently vacated by the Former Premier, Ted Baillie. I could be wrong but I am of the opinion that it is a bad move for Mary based on the 10 good reasons displayed left.
Labor with all their misdemeanors is fast becoming the favourite to win without having to do anything. It now appears that although the leaked BaillieuGate tape was the action of the Labor party, it did not do their campaign any harm. Victorians it so seems relish in the idea that one political party was able to outwit another and it also appears that Victorian voters expect their respective political parties to do exactly that.
Where does that leave John Pesutto, John Roskam and Mary Woolridge in this merry go round of political sand storms? While it is well known that Ted Baillieu and a few others support Mary Woolridge to step into Hawthorn, this assumption, unfortunately is based on anecdotal and historical evidence and cannot be taken as gospel. The odds above in percentages are my own opinion and not based on any oral or other quantitative survey. I would still prefer John Pesutto.
I am of the opinion that at this very moment as we speak, Mary Woolridge will be considering her short and long term future with the party and her continued involvement with her parliamentary colleagues. That is not to say that Mary Woolridge will not contest the seat, it means that she will look at all her options with a critical eye and take the best option that will give her the best of the best (pardon the military pun) political advantage. An advantage that will provide her with a bevy of supporters should she decide to go for the leader of the Liberal parliamentary party. She will also have to consider the political leadership ambitions of Matthew Guy and Michael O’Brien, two prince’s waiting in the royal wings waiting to be tapped on the shoulder and elevated to the position of leader.
Leaving the position open and handing it to John Pesutto will gain Mary Woolridge more clout as John will feel obligated to return the favour in the same manner that Matthew Guy has to return the favour to Eddie Gawonda and Keith Wolahan for their support in obtaining the seat of Bulleen and at the same time outwitting Mary Woolridge. On the other hand, passing the baton to John Roskam may not be in her best interests given that he has now been allegedly tainted by supporting Andrew Bolt and others to make changes to the Racial and Discrimination Act clause 18C. John Roskam like John Pessuto are both political animals so to speak and will be an asset to the Liberal parliamentary wing should either of them be supported by Mary Woolridge.
THE AUSTRALIAN NEWSPOLL
Despite Daniel Andrews political rhetoric he knows when he is on a good wicket and intends to remain behind the crease to avoid any further enigmas like the BaillieuGate leaked tape. Pressure over the next three months will intensify and both sides will be shoring up their defences to ensure that all holes have been patched up and political armoury replenished for the final battle in late November 2014. In the meantime the Battle for the Hawthorn continues to unravel unabated. See below for Newspoll by the Australian.
Despite the above poll and gloomy media reports, regarding the Denis Napthine Government, Victorians are not fools and can see through the foliage of deception created by the opposition and the political schemes of creating an environment of uncertainty and negativity of the present Liberal government. Therefore Daniel Andrews should not be wringing their hands in glee until the final vote has been counted. Voters know what is in their best interests and will vote accordingly, that is unless another debacle like the BaillieuGate affair does not rear its ugly head. Denis Napthine, Tony Snell and the Victorian State Director Damien Mantach should not be underestimated as all three are seasoned political warriors in the trenches.
The Voice from the Pavement – Peter Adamis is a Journalist/Commentator and writer. He is a retired Australian military serviceman and an Industry organisational & Occupational (OHS) & Training Consultant whose interests are within the parameters of domestic and international political spectrum. He is an avid blogger and contributes to domestic and international community news media outlets as well as to local and Ethnic News. He holds a Bachelor of Adult Learning & Development (Monash), Grad Dip Occupational Health & Safety, (Monash), Dip. Training & Assessment, Dip Public Administration, and Dip Frontline Management. Contact via Email: [email protected]pace.net.au or via Mobile: 0409965538